Recent model consensus points to a high around 29–30°C in Panama City on September 3 amid the rainy season, yet the closely matched market probabilities for 31–33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. Persistent moisture from the ITCZ supports scattered thunderstorms that can suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation, while brief clear intervals or weaker sea-breeze effects could allow readings to reach 32°C or higher. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes typical September maxima near 29–30°C with high humidity, but short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest observational data and ensemble spreads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
9月3日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
32°C 38%
31℃ 30%
33℃以上 25%
30°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23°C以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31℃
30%
32°C
38%
33℃以上
25%
32°C 38%
31℃ 30%
33℃以上 25%
30°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23°C以下
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$145 Vol.
1%
25℃
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$52 Vol.
1%
28°C
$89 Vol.
3%
29°C
$190 Vol.
4%
30°C
$141 Vol.
7%
31℃
$39 Vol.
30%
32°C
$114 Vol.
38%
33℃以上
$256 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a high around 29–30°C in Panama City on September 3 amid the rainy season, yet the closely matched market probabilities for 31–33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. Persistent moisture from the ITCZ supports scattered thunderstorms that can suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation, while brief clear intervals or weaker sea-breeze effects could allow readings to reach 32°C or higher. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes typical September maxima near 29–30°C with high humidity, but short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest observational data and ensemble spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
音量
$1,312終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a high around 29–30°C in Panama City on September 3 amid the rainy season, yet the closely matched market probabilities for 31–33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. Persistent moisture from the ITCZ supports scattered thunderstorms that can suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation, while brief clear intervals or weaker sea-breeze effects could allow readings to reach 32°C or higher. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes typical September maxima near 29–30°C with high humidity, but short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest observational data and ensemble spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,312終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent model consensus points to a high around 29–30°C in Panama City on September 3 amid the rainy season, yet the closely matched market probabilities for 31–33°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. Persistent moisture from the ITCZ supports scattered thunderstorms that can suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation, while brief clear intervals or weaker sea-breeze effects could allow readings to reach 32°C or higher. Official guidance from regional meteorological services emphasizes typical September maxima near 29–30°C with high humidity, but short-term model runs continue to diverge on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes tightly bunched as traders weigh the latest observational data and ensemble spreads.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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