**Forecast consensus for Paris on September 2, 2026, centers on a daytime maximum of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa.** Multiple numerical models, including GFS runs, project afternoon peaks in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~23.5°C) and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Current conditions on September 1—clearing skies and mild lows in the mid-teens—support modest daytime warming without exceeding 27°C or falling below 24°C in most ensemble members. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast under benign synoptic patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のパリの最高気温は?
25°C 47%
26°C 30%
24°C 18%
27°C 7%
$30,559 Vol.
$30,559 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
47%
26°C
30%
27°C
7%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 30%
24°C 18%
27°C 7%
$30,559 Vol.
$30,559 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
47%
26°C
30%
27°C
7%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus for Paris on September 2, 2026, centers on a daytime maximum of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa.** Multiple numerical models, including GFS runs, project afternoon peaks in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~23.5°C) and the absence of strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating. Current conditions on September 1—clearing skies and mild lows in the mid-teens—support modest daytime warming without exceeding 27°C or falling below 24°C in most ensemble members. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast under benign synoptic patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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