Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and GFS ensembles point to a mostly dry Tuesday under building high pressure, with moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near the long-term early-September average of 20–22°C. Ensemble spreads center on 22–23°C peaks, with limited potential for 24°C if skies clear earlier or winds weaken, versus 21°C or lower if showers develop or cloud persists longer. These narrow differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and Atlantic steering patterns that official guidance shows remain within typical model uncertainty ranges at this lead time. Trader positioning aligns with this consensus, favoring the middle outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers that would require atypical model runs or rapid synoptic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のロンドンの最高気温は?
23°C 40%
22°C 34%
24°C 16%
21°C 14%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
34%
23°C
40%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 34%
24°C 16%
21°C 14%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
14%
22°C
34%
23°C
40%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from the Met Office and GFS ensembles point to a mostly dry Tuesday under building high pressure, with moderate westerly winds limiting daytime heating and supporting maximum temperatures near the long-term early-September average of 20–22°C. Ensemble spreads center on 22–23°C peaks, with limited potential for 24°C if skies clear earlier or winds weaken, versus 21°C or lower if showers develop or cloud persists longer. These narrow differences arise from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and Atlantic steering patterns that official guidance shows remain within typical model uncertainty ranges at this lead time. Trader positioning aligns with this consensus, favoring the middle outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers that would require atypical model runs or rapid synoptic shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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