Recent official forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum temperature of 23–24 °C in Paris on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus, issued within the past 24 hours by sources such as Météo-France-aligned services and global ensembles, reflects a stable post-summer pattern with no active heat dome or strong frontal passage to drive extremes. Historical early-September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the lower end of that range. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble view, as traders incorporate the narrowing uncertainty window ahead of final resolution and any last-minute model shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のパリの最高気温は？
9月1日のパリの最高気温は？
23°C 43%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
21°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
20°C or below
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
21%
23°C
43%
24°C
26%
25°C
9%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 43%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
21°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
16%
22°C
$40 Vol.
21%
23°C
$125 Vol.
43%
24°C
$65 Vol.
26%
25°C
$20 Vol.
9%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum temperature of 23–24 °C in Paris on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus, issued within the past 24 hours by sources such as Météo-France-aligned services and global ensembles, reflects a stable post-summer pattern with no active heat dome or strong frontal passage to drive extremes. Historical early-September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the lower end of that range. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble view, as traders incorporate the narrowing uncertainty window ahead of final resolution and any last-minute model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$255終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum temperature of 23–24 °C in Paris on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus, issued within the past 24 hours by sources such as Météo-France-aligned services and global ensembles, reflects a stable post-summer pattern with no active heat dome or strong frontal passage to drive extremes. Historical early-September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the lower end of that range. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble view, as traders incorporate the narrowing uncertainty window ahead of final resolution and any last-minute model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$255終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum temperature of 23–24 °C in Paris on September 1, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus, issued within the past 24 hours by sources such as Météo-France-aligned services and global ensembles, reflects a stable post-summer pattern with no active heat dome or strong frontal passage to drive extremes. Historical early-September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the lower end of that range. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this ensemble view, as traders incorporate the narrowing uncertainty window ahead of final resolution and any last-minute model shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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