Recent meteorological model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 near 13–15°C, with the market favoring 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. An extending Azores high and associated warm advection from subtropical air masses are limiting radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light westerly flow introduce modest uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September 1 averages hover around 13°C, but current conditions reflect a transitional pattern where clearer spells could dip toward 12°C and increased moisture or insulation could hold values near 15°C. Upcoming model updates and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のパリの最低気温は？
9月1日のパリの最低気温は？
15℃ 37%
14°C 34%
13°C 26%
16℃ 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
9°C以下
12%
10°C
21%
11℃
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
26%
14°C
34%
15℃
37%
16℃
25%
17°C
8%
18℃
8%
19°C以上
2%
15℃ 37%
14°C 34%
13°C 26%
16℃ 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
9°C以下
$0 Vol.
12%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11℃
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15℃
$0 Vol.
37%
16℃
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18℃
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 near 13–15°C, with the market favoring 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. An extending Azores high and associated warm advection from subtropical air masses are limiting radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light westerly flow introduce modest uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September 1 averages hover around 13°C, but current conditions reflect a transitional pattern where clearer spells could dip toward 12°C and increased moisture or insulation could hold values near 15°C. Upcoming model updates and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 near 13–15°C, with the market favoring 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. An extending Azores high and associated warm advection from subtropical air masses are limiting radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light westerly flow introduce modest uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September 1 averages hover around 13°C, but current conditions reflect a transitional pattern where clearer spells could dip toward 12°C and increased moisture or insulation could hold values near 15°C. Upcoming model updates and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent meteorological model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Paris overnight lows on September 1 near 13–15°C, with the market favoring 14°C at 33.5% implied probability. An extending Azores high and associated warm advection from subtropical air masses are limiting radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light westerly flow introduce modest uncertainty in minimum temperatures. Historical September 1 averages hover around 13°C, but current conditions reflect a transitional pattern where clearer spells could dip toward 12°C and increased moisture or insulation could hold values near 15°C. Upcoming model updates and surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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