Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のモスクワの最高気温は？
9月1日のモスクワの最高気温は？
25°C 28%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
18%
25°C
28%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
7%
25°C 28%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C or higher
$11 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$11終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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