Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C for Chengdu on September 1, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support daytime heating, while basin topography and high pressure promote subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current model consensus points above this baseline due to persistent warmth. Traders’ even distribution across temperature bins reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from minor variations in timing, humidity, or localized convection ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の成都の最高気温は？
9月1日の成都の最高気温は？
34°C 29%
35°C 24%
33°C 17%
38°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
28°C or below
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
17%
34°C
29%
35°C
24%
36°C
12%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
14%
34°C 29%
35°C 24%
33°C 17%
38°C or higher 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
17%
34°C
$9 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
24%
36°C
$5 Vol.
12%
37°C
$20 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C for Chengdu on September 1, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support daytime heating, while basin topography and high pressure promote subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current model consensus points above this baseline due to persistent warmth. Traders’ even distribution across temperature bins reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from minor variations in timing, humidity, or localized convection ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$54終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C for Chengdu on September 1, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support daytime heating, while basin topography and high pressure promote subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current model consensus points above this baseline due to persistent warmth. Traders’ even distribution across temperature bins reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from minor variations in timing, humidity, or localized convection ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$54終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C for Chengdu on September 1, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support daytime heating, while basin topography and high pressure promote subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current model consensus points above this baseline due to persistent warmth. Traders’ even distribution across temperature bins reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from minor variations in timing, humidity, or localized convection ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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