Recent forecasts for Panama City show daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities. Persistent rainy-season convection, elevated humidity, and variable afternoon cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit peak solar heating while occasional clearer intervals allow brief warming. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light steering winds sustain typical moisture, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 30°C less favored. Updated model runs through early September will refine whether scattered thunderstorms suppress or permit the 1°C difference between the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C
34%
33°C or higher
24%
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C
34%
33°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Panama City show daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C implied probabilities. Persistent rainy-season convection, elevated humidity, and variable afternoon cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit peak solar heating while occasional clearer intervals allow brief warming. Regional sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light steering winds sustain typical moisture, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 30°C less favored. Updated model runs through early September will refine whether scattered thunderstorms suppress or permit the 1°C difference between the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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