Recent forecasts for Tokyo's September 1 maximum temperature center on 30–33°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any weak frontal passage. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models indicate values near the 30°C climatological average for early September, while localized variations in humidity and insolation could shift the peak by 1–2°C. This tight distribution underpins the market's clustered probabilities around 29–32°C, as traders weigh official updates and model consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の東京の最高気温は？
9月1日の東京の最高気温は？
30°C 30%
31°C 26%
29°C 16%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
31°C 26%
29°C 16%
32°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
26°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$55 Vol.
9%
29°C
$19 Vol.
16%
30°C
$16 Vol.
30%
31°C
$130 Vol.
26%
32°C
$155 Vol.
11%
33°C
$36 Vol.
9%
34°C
$12 Vol.
5%
35°C
$5 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Tokyo's September 1 maximum temperature center on 30–33°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any weak frontal passage. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models indicate values near the 30°C climatological average for early September, while localized variations in humidity and insolation could shift the peak by 1–2°C. This tight distribution underpins the market's clustered probabilities around 29–32°C, as traders weigh official updates and model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$581終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Tokyo's September 1 maximum temperature center on 30–33°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any weak frontal passage. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models indicate values near the 30°C climatological average for early September, while localized variations in humidity and insolation could shift the peak by 1–2°C. This tight distribution underpins the market's clustered probabilities around 29–32°C, as traders weigh official updates and model consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$581終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts for Tokyo's September 1 maximum temperature center on 30–33°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, with ensemble models showing modest spread due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any weak frontal passage. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and global models indicate values near the 30°C climatological average for early September, while localized variations in humidity and insolation could shift the peak by 1–2°C. This tight distribution underpins the market's clustered probabilities around 29–32°C, as traders weigh official updates and model consensus ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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