Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
9月3日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
63°F以下 39%
82°F以上 32%
70〜71°F 31%
72～73°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
63°F以下
39%
64～65°F
10%
66～67°F
15%
68～69°F
23%
70〜71°F
31%
72～73°F
26%
74～75°F
19%
76〜77°F
8%
78〜79°F
2%
80〜81°F
2%
82°F以上
32%
63°F以下 39%
82°F以上 32%
70〜71°F 31%
72～73°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
63°F以下
$10 Vol.
39%
64～65°F
$20 Vol.
10%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
15%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
23%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
31%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76〜77°F
$10 Vol.
8%
78〜79°F
$10 Vol.
2%
80〜81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82°F以上
$10 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
音量
$70終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$70終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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