Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 29?
20°C 97.8%
19°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
新規
$10,978 Vol.
新規
$10,978 Vol.
2026/06/29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
98%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 97.8%
19°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
17°C <1%
新規
$10,978 Vol.
新規
$10,978 Vol.
2026/06/29
15°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$976 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,153 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,567 Vol.
98%
21°C
$1,871 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$501 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$10,978終了日
2026/06/29マーケット開始日
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,978終了日
2026/06/29マーケット開始日
Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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