Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日のラクナウの最高気温は?
38°C or higher 20%
36°C 19%
35°C 17.4%
37°C 14%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C
17%
36°C
19%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
20%
38°C or higher 20%
36°C 19%
35°C 17.4%
37°C 14%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
9%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C
17%
36°C
19%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate maximum temperatures over northwest India, including Lucknow, will likely fall 3–5°C after June 28 amid shifting steering patterns and increased moisture, moderating the intense pre-monsoon heat wave that produced 44–46°C readings earlier in the month. Ensemble model spreads from GFS and ECMWF reflect this uncertainty, with some runs showing daily maxima near 36–37°C on June 30 while others retain 38–40°C under lingering dry northwesterlies. Historical June averages hover around 37°C, but the timing of any monsoon advance or clear-sky radiative cooling creates the tight clustering between the 36°C and 38°C+ brackets visible in current market-implied odds. Updated IMD briefings and next model runs will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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