A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日のミラノの最高気温は？
6月30日のミラノの最高気温は？
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
7%
37°C
1%
38°C以上
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
35°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
28°C or below
$100 Vol.
2%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$32 Vol.
5%
32°C
$24 Vol.
22%
33°C
$4 Vol.
32%
34°C
$5 Vol.
28%
35°C
$359 Vol.
13%
36°C
$25 Vol.
7%
37°C
$29 Vol.
1%
38°C以上
$451 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$1,026終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,026終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETA persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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