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icon for 2026年の米国のはしか症例は？
気候と科学·パンデミック

2026年の米国のはしか症例は？

icon for 2026年の米国のはしか症例は？
気候と科学·パンデミック

2026年の米国のはしか症例は？

5月 31

12月 31

5月 31

12月 31

Polymarket

$7,670,051 Vol.

Polymarket

$7,670,051 Vol.

↑2k

$45,436 Vol.

99%

↑3k

$50,414 Vol.

62%

↑4k

$170,918 Vol.

29%

↑5千

$215,382 Vol.

14%

↑7.5千

$174,338 Vol.

14%

↑1万

$6,493,952 Vol.

9%

↑12.5k

$344,846 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of early May 2026, the CDC has confirmed 1,842 measles cases nationwide, with 93 percent outbreak-associated across 25 new clusters and persistent transmission from 2025 outbreaks in states including Utah and Arizona. Most infections occur among unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, fueled by international travel introductions into under-immunized communities where herd immunity thresholds are not met. This pace already exceeds the full-year totals from low-incidence periods like 2024, reflecting measles' high R0 and rapid airborne spread. Ongoing CDC weekly surveillance reports, state health department updates, and assessments of U.S. elimination status—last threatened in 2019—will shape trader views on whether case counts accelerate through summer travel or decline with targeted vaccination efforts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$7,670,051
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of early May 2026, the CDC has confirmed 1,842 measles cases nationwide, with 93 percent outbreak-associated across 25 new clusters and persistent transmission from 2025 outbreaks in states including Utah and Arizona. Most infections occur among unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, fueled by international travel introductions into under-immunized communities where herd immunity thresholds are not met. This pace already exceeds the full-year totals from low-incidence periods like 2024, reflecting measles' high R0 and rapid airborne spread. Ongoing CDC weekly surveillance reports, state health department updates, and assessments of U.S. elimination status—last threatened in 2019—will shape trader views on whether case counts accelerate through summer travel or decline with targeted vaccination efforts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
音量
$7,670,051
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 16, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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よくある質問

「2026年の米国のはしか症例は？」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑500」で100%、次いで「↑1k」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年の米国のはしか症例は？」は$7.7 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 1, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年の米国のはしか症例は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年の米国のはしか症例は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑500」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑1k」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年の米国のはしか症例は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。