The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$117,038 Vol.
$117,038 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$117,038 Vol.
$117,038 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
音量
$117,038終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$117,038終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent multi-country hantavirus outbreak—eight cases including three deaths from Andes virus linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, confirmed by WHO on May 6—has driven Polymarket's 75.5% implied probability for a CDC Level 3 Travel Health Notice by December 31, as traders anticipate potential escalation amid CDC's Health Alert Network advisory (HAN-00528) and Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier for monitoring. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, though ongoing Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia, and persistent H5N1 reservoirs in U.S. wild birds and poultry signal elevated outbreak risks. Epidemiological surveillance and seasonal transmission dynamics remain pivotal, with model projections highlighting uncertainty in human-to-human spread thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問