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icon for ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?

ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?

icon for ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?

ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?

はい

43% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

43% 確率
Polymarket
新規
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.

Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.

The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.

A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/27
マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Moonshot AI unveiled Kimi K3 on July 16, 2026, confirming via its technical blog and platform docs that the full 2.8T-parameter MoE weights would ship by July 27 alongside a report on architecture and training. The model is already live through the Kimi API with strong multimodal and long-context benchmarks rivaling closed frontier systems, following the precedent of K2’s earlier open release. Traders see the 10-day window and the sheer scale of the checkpoint as key risks for slippage, even as community excitement builds around potential local deployment and inference ecosystem integration. The July 27 deadline itself remains the dominant near-term catalyst.

Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable.

The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify.

A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/07/27
マーケット開始日
Jul 17, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Moonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ムーンショットは7月27日までにKimi K3の重みを公開しますか?」で44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 17, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ムーンショットは7月27日までにKimi K3の重みを公開しますか?」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ムーンショットは7月27日までにキミK 3ウェイトを公開しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。