Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月22日 44%
7月21日 44%
7月23日 44%
7月30日 42%
新規
新規
2026/07/15
7月15日まで
42%
7月16日
42%
7月17日
42%
7月18日
42%
7月19日
42%
7月20日
42%
7月21日
44%
7月22日
44%
7月23日
44%
7月24日
42%
7月25日
42%
7月26日
42%
7月27日
42%
7月28日
42%
7月29日
42%
7月30日
42%
7月31日
42%
7月31日までにリリースなし
42%
7月22日 44%
7月21日 44%
7月23日 44%
7月30日 42%
新規
新規
2026/07/15
7月15日まで
$5 Vol.
42%
7月16日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月17日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月18日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月19日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月20日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月21日
$0 Vol.
44%
7月22日
$0 Vol.
44%
7月23日
$0 Vol.
44%
7月24日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月25日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月26日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月27日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月28日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月29日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月30日
$0 Vol.
42%
7月31日
$2 Vol.
42%
7月31日までにリリースなし
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ET
音量
$7終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$7終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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