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icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
政治·グローバル選挙

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
政治·グローバル選挙

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 50%

Elly Schlein 14%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

ロベルト・ヴァンナッチ 10.0%

Polymarket

$83,533 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni 50%

Elly Schlein 14%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

ロベルト・ヴァンナッチ 10.0%

Polymarket

$83,533 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$9,798 Vol.

50%

Elly Schlein

$6,104 Vol.

14%

Giuseppe Conte

$5,667 Vol.

13%

Antonio Tajani

$2,277 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$3,400 Vol.

<1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,534 Vol.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$2,515 Vol.

1%

シルヴィア・サリス

$8,658 Vol.

8%

ロベルト・ヴァンナッチ

$37,875 Vol.

10%

マッテオ・レンツィ

$1,637 Vol.

<1%

アンジェロ・ボネッリ

$1,792 Vol.

<1%

カルロ・カレンダ

$2,276 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in trader consensus due to her role as incumbent prime minister and Brothers of Italy’s consistent lead in voting intention surveys at around 26-27% ahead of the scheduled 2027 general election. Recent polling aggregators show her center-right coalition near 40-41%, narrowly trailing or level with the center-left “campo largo” bloc amid debates over electoral reform and coalition arithmetic. Opposition figures Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement draw support from a competitive but divided left, while Roberto Vannacci’s rising Futuro Nazionale party fragments the right-wing vote at 7-9%. Silvia Salis reflects left-wing alternatives in a closely contested landscape where small shifts in turnout or alliances could alter outcomes.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$83,533
終了日
2028/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in trader consensus due to her role as incumbent prime minister and Brothers of Italy’s consistent lead in voting intention surveys at around 26-27% ahead of the scheduled 2027 general election. Recent polling aggregators show her center-right coalition near 40-41%, narrowly trailing or level with the center-left “campo largo” bloc amid debates over electoral reform and coalition arithmetic. Opposition figures Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement draw support from a competitive but divided left, while Roberto Vannacci’s rising Futuro Nazionale party fragments the right-wing vote at 7-9%. Silvia Salis reflects left-wing alternatives in a closely contested landscape where small shifts in turnout or alliances could alter outcomes.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$83,533
終了日
2028/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「Next Prime Minister of Italy?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Giorgia Meloni」で50%、次いで「Elly Schlein」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、50¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に50%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Prime Minister of Italy?」は$83.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 21, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Italy?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Italy?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Giorgia Meloni」で50%であり、市場がこの結果に50%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Elly Schlein」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Prime Minister of Italy?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。