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icon for 次のルーマニア首相は… ?

次のルーマニア首相は… ?

icon for 次のルーマニア首相は… ?

次のルーマニア首相は… ?

$23,885 Vol.

2026/09/30
Polymarket

$23,885 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$417 Vol.

15%

September 30

$633 Vol.

56%

12月31日

$5,830 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania has remained in political deadlock since the pro-European coalition government led by Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan lost a no-confidence vote in May 2026. President Nicușor Dan’s subsequent nominations—first Eugen Tomac, then Adrian Veștea—failed to secure the parliamentary majority needed for confirmation, with the latter rejected in a June confidence vote. Moderate parties have struggled to rebuild a stable coalition amid PSD opposition and far-right resistance, while Bolojan continues in a caretaker role. Key factors shaping outcomes include ongoing negotiations among pro-Western parties, constitutional rules on presidential appointments and parliamentary approval, risks to EU funding access, and the low likelihood of snap elections before 2028. Any breakthrough coalition agreement or new nomination would directly influence resolution of related prediction markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$23,885
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania has remained in political deadlock since the pro-European coalition government led by Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan lost a no-confidence vote in May 2026. President Nicușor Dan’s subsequent nominations—first Eugen Tomac, then Adrian Veștea—failed to secure the parliamentary majority needed for confirmation, with the latter rejected in a June confidence vote. Moderate parties have struggled to rebuild a stable coalition amid PSD opposition and far-right resistance, while Bolojan continues in a caretaker role. Key factors shaping outcomes include ongoing negotiations among pro-Western parties, constitutional rules on presidential appointments and parliamentary approval, risks to EU funding access, and the low likelihood of snap elections before 2028. Any breakthrough coalition agreement or new nomination would directly influence resolution of related prediction markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$23,885
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「次のルーマニア首相は… ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で94%、次いで「September 30」が56%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次のルーマニア首相は… ?」は$23.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次のルーマニア首相は… ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のルーマニア首相は… ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「September 30」で56%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のルーマニア首相は… ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。