The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its April 30, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility rate at 2%, amid soaring inflation driven by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices from the Iran conflict. The ECB's May 4 Survey of Professional Forecasters raised eurozone headline inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026, up from prior estimates, while slashing growth forecasts, signaling persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Policymakers debated potential June hikes, and analysts like Morgan Stanley abandoned prior rate-cut predictions, reflecting trader consensus that restrictive monetary policy will likely persist through the year absent significant de-escalation or demand weakness. Upcoming June policy decision could further shape odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$27,913 Vol.
$27,913 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its April 30, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility rate at 2%, amid soaring inflation driven by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices from the Iran conflict. The ECB's May 4 Survey of Professional Forecasters raised eurozone headline inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026, up from prior estimates, while slashing growth forecasts, signaling persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Policymakers debated potential June hikes, and analysts like Morgan Stanley abandoned prior rate-cut predictions, reflecting trader consensus that restrictive monetary policy will likely persist through the year absent significant de-escalation or demand weakness. Upcoming June policy decision could further shape odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$27,913終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its April 30, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility rate at 2%, amid soaring inflation driven by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices from the Iran conflict. The ECB's May 4 Survey of Professional Forecasters raised eurozone headline inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026, up from prior estimates, while slashing growth forecasts, signaling persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Policymakers debated potential June hikes, and analysts like Morgan Stanley abandoned prior rate-cut predictions, reflecting trader consensus that restrictive monetary policy will likely persist through the year absent significant de-escalation or demand weakness. Upcoming June policy decision could further shape odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$27,913終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its April 30, 2026 meeting, with the deposit facility rate at 2%, amid soaring inflation driven by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices from the Iran conflict. The ECB's May 4 Survey of Professional Forecasters raised eurozone headline inflation expectations to 2.7% for 2026, up from prior estimates, while slashing growth forecasts, signaling persistent price pressures above the 2% target. Policymakers debated potential June hikes, and analysts like Morgan Stanley abandoned prior rate-cut predictions, reflecting trader consensus that restrictive monetary policy will likely persist through the year absent significant de-escalation or demand weakness. Upcoming June policy decision could further shape odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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