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icon for NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

アドリアーノ・エスパイラット 71%

ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ 30%

オスカー・ロメロ 1.7%

テオ・チノ=タヴァレス <1%

Polymarket

$22,817 Vol.

アドリアーノ・エスパイラット 71%

ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ 30%

オスカー・ロメロ 1.7%

テオ・チノ=タヴァレス <1%

Polymarket

$22,817 Vol.

アドリアーノ・エスパイラット

$5,416 Vol.

71%

ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ

$3,253 Vol.

30%

オスカー・ロメロ

$5,233 Vol.

2%

テオ・チノ=タヴァレス

$1,890 Vol.

<1%

メーガン・ロドリゲス

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

ジャリール・アマドール

$934 Vol.

<1%

ジェームズ・フェルトン・キース

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

マット・ミラー

$1,855 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds the leading position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th Congressional District due to his decade-long tenure representing Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, along with recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC and key labor groups. Darializa Avila Chevalier, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and a coalition that succeeded in the prior mayoral contest, has narrowed the gap through strong first-quarter fundraising and an internal poll highlighting soft incumbent support among likely primary voters. Other candidates remain marginal amid the contest's focus on progressive policy differences, including immigration and healthcare approaches. Trader consensus reflects Espaillat's structural advantages in name recognition and institutional backing one month before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$22,817
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Adriano Espaillat holds the leading position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York's 13th Congressional District due to his decade-long tenure representing Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, along with recent endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC and key labor groups. Darializa Avila Chevalier, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and a coalition that succeeded in the prior mayoral contest, has narrowed the gap through strong first-quarter fundraising and an internal poll highlighting soft incumbent support among likely primary voters. Other candidates remain marginal amid the contest's focus on progressive policy differences, including immigration and healthcare approaches. Trader consensus reflects Espaillat's structural advantages in name recognition and institutional backing one month before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$22,817
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アドリアーノ・エスパイラット」で71%、次いで「ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$22.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 19, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アドリアーノ・エスパイラット」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。