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icon for ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?

ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?

icon for ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?

ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?

はい

31% 確率
Polymarket

$214,953 Vol.

はい

31% 確率
Polymarket

$214,953 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead the Pentagon through congressional testimony and policy implementation on the Iran conflict and the proposed $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget, with recent appearances before House and Senate appropriations panels highlighting his role in strategy briefings and force posture decisions. Administration backing, including joint statements with the Joint Chiefs on readiness and preemptive capabilities, has sustained his position since Senate confirmation in early 2025. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end on the absence of fresh removal pressures or confirmation hearings, despite earlier 2025 reporting on internal communications. Upcoming budget negotiations and any shifts in Iran ceasefire dynamics represent the main near-term variables that could alter this consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$214,953
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to lead the Pentagon through congressional testimony and policy implementation on the Iran conflict and the proposed $1.5 trillion fiscal 2027 defense budget, with recent appearances before House and Senate appropriations panels highlighting his role in strategy briefings and force posture decisions. Administration backing, including joint statements with the Joint Chiefs on readiness and preemptive capabilities, has sustained his position since Senate confirmation in early 2025. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end on the absence of fresh removal pressures or confirmation hearings, despite earlier 2025 reporting on internal communications. Upcoming budget negotiations and any shifts in Iran ceasefire dynamics represent the main near-term variables that could alter this consensus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$214,953
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官を退任するか?」で31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、31¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に31%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?」は$215Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官を退任するか?」で31%であり、市場がこの結果に31%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ピート・ヘグセスが12月31日までに国防長官に?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。