Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as trade envoy and Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. No criminal charges have been filed as of mid-2026 despite document releases and expanded reviews by multiple forces, reflecting the high evidentiary bar for the common-law offense, procedural complexities around royal matters, and the passage of time since the underlying events. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no prison sentence due to this lack of formal prosecution and historical patterns in similar cases. Potential shifts could stem from new charges, successful prosecution at trial, or unexpected witness developments within any resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$220,990 Vol.
$220,990 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
3% 確率
$220,990 Vol.
$220,990 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as trade envoy and Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. No criminal charges have been filed as of mid-2026 despite document releases and expanded reviews by multiple forces, reflecting the high evidentiary bar for the common-law offense, procedural complexities around royal matters, and the passage of time since the underlying events. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no prison sentence due to this lack of formal prosecution and historical patterns in similar cases. Potential shifts could stem from new charges, successful prosecution at trial, or unexpected witness developments within any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
音量
$220,990終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as trade envoy and Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. No criminal charges have been filed as of mid-2026 despite document releases and expanded reviews by multiple forces, reflecting the high evidentiary bar for the common-law offense, procedural complexities around royal matters, and the passage of time since the underlying events. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no prison sentence due to this lack of formal prosecution and historical patterns in similar cases. Potential shifts could stem from new charges, successful prosecution at trial, or unexpected witness developments within any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$220,990終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor faces an active UK police investigation into alleged misconduct in public office tied to his time as trade envoy and Epstein contacts, following his February 2026 arrest and release under investigation. No criminal charges have been filed as of mid-2026 despite document releases and expanded reviews by multiple forces, reflecting the high evidentiary bar for the common-law offense, procedural complexities around royal matters, and the passage of time since the underlying events. Traders assign 97.2% probability to no prison sentence due to this lack of formal prosecution and historical patterns in similar cases. Potential shifts could stem from new charges, successful prosecution at trial, or unexpected witness developments within any resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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