Mark Smith’s strong fundraising edge and experience as a state representative have established him as the clear frontrunner in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Republican primary, driving the current 70.5% trader consensus on his nomination. With the June 9 primary approaching, Smith has reported nearly $727,000 raised and substantial cash on hand, outpacing rivals while participating in recent candidate forums that highlight local governance records. Alex Pelbath’s military background and $365,000 in contributions keep him competitive at 11%, alongside Sam McCown at 10.8%, though both trail in early straw polls and media attention. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has drawn a crowded field where fundraising, grassroots events, and voter forums continue to shape primary dynamics and implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マーク・スミス 70%
アレックス・ペルバス 16%
サム・マッカウン 10.5%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 4.1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
マーク・スミス
70%
アレックス・ペルバス
16%
サム・マッカウン
11%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット
4%
ジェイ・バイヤーズ
4%
ジャック・エリソン
2%
ローガン・カニンガム
1%
ジャスティン・マイヤーズ
1%
ダン・ブラウン
<1%
マーク・スミス 70%
アレックス・ペルバス 16%
サム・マッカウン 10.5%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 4.1%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
マーク・スミス
70%
アレックス・ペルバス
16%
サム・マッカウン
11%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット
4%
ジェイ・バイヤーズ
4%
ジャック・エリソン
2%
ローガン・カニンガム
1%
ジャスティン・マイヤーズ
1%
ダン・ブラウン
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith’s strong fundraising edge and experience as a state representative have established him as the clear frontrunner in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District Republican primary, driving the current 70.5% trader consensus on his nomination. With the June 9 primary approaching, Smith has reported nearly $727,000 raised and substantial cash on hand, outpacing rivals while participating in recent candidate forums that highlight local governance records. Alex Pelbath’s military background and $365,000 in contributions keep him competitive at 11%, alongside Sam McCown at 10.8%, though both trail in early straw polls and media attention. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has drawn a crowded field where fundraising, grassroots events, and voter forums continue to shape primary dynamics and implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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