Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日マーク・スミス 71%
アレックス・ペルバス 17%
サム・マッカウン 9.8%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 4.0%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
2026/06/09
マーク・スミス
71%
アレックス・ペルバス
17%
サム・マッカウン
10%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット
4%
ジェイ・バイヤーズ
4%
ジャック・エリソン
2%
ローガン・カニンガム
1%
ジャスティン・マイヤーズ
1%
ダン・ブラウン
1%
マーク・スミス 71%
アレックス・ペルバス 17%
サム・マッカウン 9.8%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 4.0%
$14,480 Vol.
$14,480 Vol.
2026/06/09
マーク・スミス
$5,657 Vol.
71%
アレックス・ペルバス
$2,492 Vol.
17%
サム・マッカウン
$2,086 Vol.
10%
ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット
$643 Vol.
4%
ジェイ・バイヤーズ
$681 Vol.
4%
ジャック・エリソン
$945 Vol.
2%
ローガン・カニンガム
$733 Vol.
1%
ジャスティン・マイヤーズ
$603 Vol.
1%
ダン・ブラウン
$641 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
音量
$14,480終了日
2026/06/09マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,480終了日
2026/06/09マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Smith holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, driven by his current role as a state representative and strong performance in the April GOP forum straw poll. The open seat, created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign, has drawn a crowded field where Smith’s legislative experience and fundraising edge position him ahead of challengers like retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath. Recent candidate forums and local media attention have reinforced trader views of Smith’s path to the June 9 nomination, while Pelbath and Sam McCown trail on name recognition and resources. The market’s implied probabilities reflect these established advantages ahead of primary voting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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