Dusty Johnson holds the strongest position among Republican primary voters for South Dakota governor, driven by his four terms in Congress and prior service as public utilities commissioner, which provide greater statewide name recognition than his rivals. Recent Mason-Dixon polling from April shows him at 34 percent support, ahead of Jon Hansen, Larry Rhoden, and Toby Doeden, each near 17-18 percent, reinforcing trader consensus on his lead. A late-April debate highlighted differences on property tax relief and sales tax proposals, with Johnson emphasizing targeted credits for homeowners. Rhoden, who assumed the governorship in January 2025 after Kristi Noem’s resignation, benefits from incumbency but trails in surveys, while Hansen’s role as House speaker and Doeden’s outsider business background keep them competitive yet behind. The June 2 primary could trigger a July runoff if no candidate reaches 35 percent, a threshold traders weigh when assessing final nominee probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ダスティ・ジョンソン 72%
トビー・ドエデン 19%
ジョン・ハンセン 7.5%
ラリー・ローデン 4.5%
$58,021 Vol.
$58,021 Vol.
ダスティ・ジョンソン
72%
トビー・ドエデン
21%
ジョン・ハンセン
12%
ラリー・ローデン
4%
ダスティ・ジョンソン 72%
トビー・ドエデン 19%
ジョン・ハンセン 7.5%
ラリー・ローデン 4.5%
$58,021 Vol.
$58,021 Vol.
ダスティ・ジョンソン
72%
トビー・ドエデン
21%
ジョン・ハンセン
12%
ラリー・ローデン
4%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dusty Johnson holds the strongest position among Republican primary voters for South Dakota governor, driven by his four terms in Congress and prior service as public utilities commissioner, which provide greater statewide name recognition than his rivals. Recent Mason-Dixon polling from April shows him at 34 percent support, ahead of Jon Hansen, Larry Rhoden, and Toby Doeden, each near 17-18 percent, reinforcing trader consensus on his lead. A late-April debate highlighted differences on property tax relief and sales tax proposals, with Johnson emphasizing targeted credits for homeowners. Rhoden, who assumed the governorship in January 2025 after Kristi Noem’s resignation, benefits from incumbency but trails in surveys, while Hansen’s role as House speaker and Doeden’s outsider business background keep them competitive yet behind. The June 2 primary could trigger a July runoff if no candidate reaches 35 percent, a threshold traders weigh when assessing final nominee probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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