SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in April and a targeted June 2026 listing on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, underpins the overwhelming 97.4% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Reports indicate plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's rapid subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and the recent xAI merger that lifted combined valuations past $1.25 trillion. Traders see strong demand from institutional and retail allocations amid Elon Musk's dual-class structure preserving control. Realistic challenges include volatile equity markets, regulatory scrutiny on the offering size, or last-minute delays that could compress the debut valuation below the trillion-dollar threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1兆ドル超 97.5%
2028年より前のIPOなし <1%
9,000億〜1兆 <1%
8000億~9000億 <1%
$3,470,340 Vol.
$3,470,340 Vol.
5,000億ドル未満
<1%
5,000億〜6,000億
<1%
6000億~7000億
<1%
7000億~8000億
<1%
8000億~9000億
1%
9,000億〜1兆
1%
1兆ドル超
98%
2028年より前のIPOなし
1%
1兆ドル超 97.5%
2028年より前のIPOなし <1%
9,000億〜1兆 <1%
8000億~9000億 <1%
$3,470,340 Vol.
$3,470,340 Vol.
5,000億ドル未満
<1%
5,000億〜6,000億
<1%
6000億~7000億
<1%
7000億~8000億
<1%
8000億~9000億
1%
9,000億〜1兆
1%
1兆ドル超
98%
2028年より前のIPOなし
1%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with a confidential SEC filing in April and a targeted June 2026 listing on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, underpins the overwhelming 97.4% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Reports indicate plans to raise roughly $75 billion at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, fueled by Starlink's rapid subscriber growth, Starship reusability milestones, and the recent xAI merger that lifted combined valuations past $1.25 trillion. Traders see strong demand from institutional and retail allocations amid Elon Musk's dual-class structure preserving control. Realistic challenges include volatile equity markets, regulatory scrutiny on the offering size, or last-minute delays that could compress the debut valuation below the trillion-dollar threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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