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icon for SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?

SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?

icon for SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?

SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?

Ended:

Ended:

上昇

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$38,190 Vol.

上昇

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$38,190 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong investor demand for SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO, priced at $135 per share on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, has created near-certain expectations of a first-day gain. Oversubscription from institutions, a 30% retail allocation target, and excitement over Starlink expansion, reusable rocket technology, and emerging space-based AI data centers have fueled aggressive buying. This mirrors historical patterns for high-profile tech debuts where supply constraints and hype drive opening premiums of 10-20% or more. While regulatory delays or sudden macroeconomic shocks remain theoretical risks, current order flow and pre-market momentum make a down close extremely unlikely in traders’ consensus view.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$38,190
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

提案された結果: 上昇

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 上昇

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong investor demand for SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO, priced at $135 per share on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, has created near-certain expectations of a first-day gain. Oversubscription from institutions, a 30% retail allocation target, and excitement over Starlink expansion, reusable rocket technology, and emerging space-based AI data centers have fueled aggressive buying. This mirrors historical patterns for high-profile tech debuts where supply constraints and hype drive opening premiums of 10-20% or more. While regulatory delays or sudden macroeconomic shocks remain theoretical risks, current order flow and pre-market momentum make a down close extremely unlikely in traders’ consensus view.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$38,190
マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

提案された結果: 上昇

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: 上昇

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内でSpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?の価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「上昇」に対して100%です。価格100%は、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーがSpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?のライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?」は$38.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています。SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか? Up or Downマーケットはライブの価格変動にリアルタイムで反応する活発なトレーダーを引き付けます。この活動レベルにより、現在のUp/Downオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることが保証されます。このページでライブ価格を追跡し、直接取引できます。

「SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?」で取引するには、決済日の正午ETにおけるSpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?の価格がJune 9の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

この日次ウィンドウは閉じられ、決済されました。最終結果は「上昇」でした。このページ上部の時間ナビゲーションを使用して、隣接するウィンドウを表示するか、現在のライブ市場を見つけてください。

「SpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?」市場は、決済日の正午ETとJune 9の正午ETにおけるSpaceXのIPO :初日に株価の上昇/下落を終えますか?の価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance SPACEX-IPO-CLOSING-SHARE-PRICE-UPDOWN-ON-FIRST-DAY-20260607181533420/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。決済日の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。