SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO at $135 per share priced on June 11 and debuted on Nasdaq June 12 under ticker SPCX, opening at $150 before closing near $161 for a roughly 19% first-day gain and a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion amid more than $350 billion in indicated demand. This extreme oversubscription, combined with a tight public float estimated near 4%, generated powerful upward momentum that traders appear to expect will carry into the June 13 second-day open, supporting the 59.5% market-implied probability for an “Up” resolution. Additional near-term support stems from anticipated index inclusion flows such as MSCI rebalancing, while the risk of early profit-taking by allocated institutions and typical post-IPO volatility around high-valuation launches caps conviction above 60%. The outcome hinges on whether continued retail and hedge-fund inflows outweigh any supply from day-one flippers ahead of the June 13 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日上昇
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This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO at $135 per share priced on June 11 and debuted on Nasdaq June 12 under ticker SPCX, opening at $150 before closing near $161 for a roughly 19% first-day gain and a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion amid more than $350 billion in indicated demand. This extreme oversubscription, combined with a tight public float estimated near 4%, generated powerful upward momentum that traders appear to expect will carry into the June 13 second-day open, supporting the 59.5% market-implied probability for an “Up” resolution. Additional near-term support stems from anticipated index inclusion flows such as MSCI rebalancing, while the risk of early profit-taking by allocated institutions and typical post-IPO volatility around high-valuation launches caps conviction above 60%. The outcome hinges on whether continued retail and hedge-fund inflows outweigh any supply from day-one flippers ahead of the June 13 close.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
音量
$9,888マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO at $135 per share priced on June 11 and debuted on Nasdaq June 12 under ticker SPCX, opening at $150 before closing near $161 for a roughly 19% first-day gain and a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion amid more than $350 billion in indicated demand. This extreme oversubscription, combined with a tight public float estimated near 4%, generated powerful upward momentum that traders appear to expect will carry into the June 13 second-day open, supporting the 59.5% market-implied probability for an “Up” resolution. Additional near-term support stems from anticipated index inclusion flows such as MSCI rebalancing, while the risk of early profit-taking by allocated institutions and typical post-IPO volatility around high-valuation launches caps conviction above 60%. The outcome hinges on whether continued retail and hedge-fund inflows outweigh any supply from day-one flippers ahead of the June 13 close.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's opening share price on its second day of trading is greater than or equal to the closing share price on the previous trading day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
The second day of trading for the purposes of this market will be the second calendar day on which SpaceX records both an official opening and closing price on the primary exchange.
The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
音量
$9,888マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO at $135 per share priced on June 11 and debuted on Nasdaq June 12 under ticker SPCX, opening at $150 before closing near $161 for a roughly 19% first-day gain and a market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion amid more than $350 billion in indicated demand. This extreme oversubscription, combined with a tight public float estimated near 4%, generated powerful upward momentum that traders appear to expect will carry into the June 13 second-day open, supporting the 59.5% market-implied probability for an “Up” resolution. Additional near-term support stems from anticipated index inclusion flows such as MSCI rebalancing, while the risk of early profit-taking by allocated institutions and typical post-IPO volatility around high-valuation launches caps conviction above 60%. The outcome hinges on whether continued retail and hedge-fund inflows outweigh any supply from day-one flippers ahead of the June 13 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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