Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his PSOE-Sumar minority coalition have repeatedly pledged to complete the full legislative term ending in August 2027, explicitly ruling out a 2026 snap general election in statements through June and July. The administration continues prioritizing passage of the General State Budget and maintenance of coalition support amid ongoing regional elections and isolated corruption probes, without facing a successful no-confidence motion or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Sánchez retains the prerogative to call early elections but has shown no procedural incentive to do so, consistent with prior patterns of exhausting the mandate once in office. These factors underpin traders’ consensus that no national snap election will occur by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
14% 確率
$35,335 Vol.
$35,335 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
$35,335 Vol.
$35,335 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his PSOE-Sumar minority coalition have repeatedly pledged to complete the full legislative term ending in August 2027, explicitly ruling out a 2026 snap general election in statements through June and July. The administration continues prioritizing passage of the General State Budget and maintenance of coalition support amid ongoing regional elections and isolated corruption probes, without facing a successful no-confidence motion or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Sánchez retains the prerogative to call early elections but has shown no procedural incentive to do so, consistent with prior patterns of exhausting the mandate once in office. These factors underpin traders’ consensus that no national snap election will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$35,335終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his PSOE-Sumar minority coalition have repeatedly pledged to complete the full legislative term ending in August 2027, explicitly ruling out a 2026 snap general election in statements through June and July. The administration continues prioritizing passage of the General State Budget and maintenance of coalition support amid ongoing regional elections and isolated corruption probes, without facing a successful no-confidence motion or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Sánchez retains the prerogative to call early elections but has shown no procedural incentive to do so, consistent with prior patterns of exhausting the mandate once in office. These factors underpin traders’ consensus that no national snap election will occur by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$35,335終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez and his PSOE-Sumar minority coalition have repeatedly pledged to complete the full legislative term ending in August 2027, explicitly ruling out a 2026 snap general election in statements through June and July. The administration continues prioritizing passage of the General State Budget and maintenance of coalition support amid ongoing regional elections and isolated corruption probes, without facing a successful no-confidence motion or other constitutional trigger for dissolution. Sánchez retains the prerogative to call early elections but has shown no procedural incentive to do so, consistent with prior patterns of exhausting the mandate once in office. These factors underpin traders’ consensus that no national snap election will occur by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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