Spain's opposition parties, led by the center-right PP, have explicitly ruled out advancing a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez by the June 30 deadline due to insufficient votes in Congress, with key groups like Catalan pro-independence parties declining support to avoid empowering the far-right Vox. Sánchez's minority government has faced repeated corruption probes involving allies and family members, alongside regional electoral setbacks, yet maintains parliamentary stability through the current term ending in 2027. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no vote occurring because these fragmented dynamics and procedural requirements create high barriers in the short window, though a sudden major scandal or unexpected coalition shift could still alter the timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/06/30
新規
新規
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's opposition parties, led by the center-right PP, have explicitly ruled out advancing a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez by the June 30 deadline due to insufficient votes in Congress, with key groups like Catalan pro-independence parties declining support to avoid empowering the far-right Vox. Sánchez's minority government has faced repeated corruption probes involving allies and family members, alongside regional electoral setbacks, yet maintains parliamentary stability through the current term ending in 2027. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no vote occurring because these fragmented dynamics and procedural requirements create high barriers in the short window, though a sudden major scandal or unexpected coalition shift could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
音量
$6,458終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's opposition parties, led by the center-right PP, have explicitly ruled out advancing a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez by the June 30 deadline due to insufficient votes in Congress, with key groups like Catalan pro-independence parties declining support to avoid empowering the far-right Vox. Sánchez's minority government has faced repeated corruption probes involving allies and family members, alongside regional electoral setbacks, yet maintains parliamentary stability through the current term ending in 2027. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no vote occurring because these fragmented dynamics and procedural requirements create high barriers in the short window, though a sudden major scandal or unexpected coalition shift could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,458終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's opposition parties, led by the center-right PP, have explicitly ruled out advancing a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez by the June 30 deadline due to insufficient votes in Congress, with key groups like Catalan pro-independence parties declining support to avoid empowering the far-right Vox. Sánchez's minority government has faced repeated corruption probes involving allies and family members, alongside regional electoral setbacks, yet maintains parliamentary stability through the current term ending in 2027. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to no vote occurring because these fragmented dynamics and procedural requirements create high barriers in the short window, though a sudden major scandal or unexpected coalition shift could still alter the timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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