Recent White House clarifications have driven the market-implied odds heavily toward “No,” as officials distanced themselves from early-May reports of a potential executive order mandating pre-release federal review of frontier AI models. Discussions surfaced around May 4 amid concerns over cybersecurity risks, prompting talk of an AI working group and safety testing similar to FDA processes, yet the administration quickly labeled such plans speculation and emphasized voluntary agreements with firms including Google, Microsoft, and xAI through NIST’s Center for AI Standards and Innovation. This aligns with the Trump administration’s consistent deregulatory approach, including prior executive actions preempting state-level rules. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal order issued, traders see limited scope for a sudden policy reversal absent a major new catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$63,584 Vol.
$63,584 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
$63,584 Vol.
$63,584 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent White House clarifications have driven the market-implied odds heavily toward “No,” as officials distanced themselves from early-May reports of a potential executive order mandating pre-release federal review of frontier AI models. Discussions surfaced around May 4 amid concerns over cybersecurity risks, prompting talk of an AI working group and safety testing similar to FDA processes, yet the administration quickly labeled such plans speculation and emphasized voluntary agreements with firms including Google, Microsoft, and xAI through NIST’s Center for AI Standards and Innovation. This aligns with the Trump administration’s consistent deregulatory approach, including prior executive actions preempting state-level rules. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal order issued, traders see limited scope for a sudden policy reversal absent a major new catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
音量
$63,584終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent White House clarifications have driven the market-implied odds heavily toward “No,” as officials distanced themselves from early-May reports of a potential executive order mandating pre-release federal review of frontier AI models. Discussions surfaced around May 4 amid concerns over cybersecurity risks, prompting talk of an AI working group and safety testing similar to FDA processes, yet the administration quickly labeled such plans speculation and emphasized voluntary agreements with firms including Google, Microsoft, and xAI through NIST’s Center for AI Standards and Innovation. This aligns with the Trump administration’s consistent deregulatory approach, including prior executive actions preempting state-level rules. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal order issued, traders see limited scope for a sudden policy reversal absent a major new catalyst.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government.
Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process.
Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$63,584終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent White House clarifications have driven the market-implied odds heavily toward “No,” as officials distanced themselves from early-May reports of a potential executive order mandating pre-release federal review of frontier AI models. Discussions surfaced around May 4 amid concerns over cybersecurity risks, prompting talk of an AI working group and safety testing similar to FDA processes, yet the administration quickly labeled such plans speculation and emphasized voluntary agreements with firms including Google, Microsoft, and xAI through NIST’s Center for AI Standards and Innovation. This aligns with the Trump administration’s consistent deregulatory approach, including prior executive actions preempting state-level rules. With only two weeks remaining until the May 31 deadline and no formal order issued, traders see limited scope for a sudden policy reversal absent a major new catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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