Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.2% "No" due to the complete absence of any verifiable federal or state criminal investigations, indictments, or charges against Tucker Carlson in recent months, with no announcements from the DOJ, FBI, or prosecutors signaling imminent action. Past controversies, including civil defamation settlements like Dominion and unproven claims of NSA surveillance or foreign agent status, have not escalated to criminal proceedings, and no leaks or court filings have emerged in the last 30 days to suggest otherwise. With just over two weeks until May 31 resolution, structural barriers such as probable cause requirements and lack of public evidence make arrest highly improbable absent a sudden, late-breaking indictment or extraordinary legal development like a special counsel revelation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/05/31
新規
新規
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.2% "No" due to the complete absence of any verifiable federal or state criminal investigations, indictments, or charges against Tucker Carlson in recent months, with no announcements from the DOJ, FBI, or prosecutors signaling imminent action. Past controversies, including civil defamation settlements like Dominion and unproven claims of NSA surveillance or foreign agent status, have not escalated to criminal proceedings, and no leaks or court filings have emerged in the last 30 days to suggest otherwise. With just over two weeks until May 31 resolution, structural barriers such as probable cause requirements and lack of public evidence make arrest highly improbable absent a sudden, late-breaking indictment or extraordinary legal development like a special counsel revelation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
音量
$3,036終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.2% "No" due to the complete absence of any verifiable federal or state criminal investigations, indictments, or charges against Tucker Carlson in recent months, with no announcements from the DOJ, FBI, or prosecutors signaling imminent action. Past controversies, including civil defamation settlements like Dominion and unproven claims of NSA surveillance or foreign agent status, have not escalated to criminal proceedings, and no leaks or court filings have emerged in the last 30 days to suggest otherwise. With just over two weeks until May 31 resolution, structural barriers such as probable cause requirements and lack of public evidence make arrest highly improbable absent a sudden, late-breaking indictment or extraordinary legal development like a special counsel revelation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,036終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.2% "No" due to the complete absence of any verifiable federal or state criminal investigations, indictments, or charges against Tucker Carlson in recent months, with no announcements from the DOJ, FBI, or prosecutors signaling imminent action. Past controversies, including civil defamation settlements like Dominion and unproven claims of NSA surveillance or foreign agent status, have not escalated to criminal proceedings, and no leaks or court filings have emerged in the last 30 days to suggest otherwise. With just over two weeks until May 31 resolution, structural barriers such as probable cause requirements and lack of public evidence make arrest highly improbable absent a sudden, late-breaking indictment or extraordinary legal development like a special counsel revelation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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