The S&P 500's recent surge to fresh record highs above 7,200, with a 10.5% gain in April 2026 driven by AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers and robust first-quarter earnings growth exceeding 12%, continues to shape trader positioning for May resolution levels. Persistent inflation pressures, including March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year and elevated wholesale prices, have prompted a hawkish Federal Reserve stance with the funds rate held at 3.50-3.75% amid multiple FOMC dissents, while the transition to new Chair Kevin Warsh adds policy uncertainty. Strong corporate margins near record levels and ongoing tech sector momentum provide support, though stretched valuations and potential volatility from geopolitical or earnings developments could influence near-term index moves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$490,222 Vol.
↑ $800
3%
↑ $790
2%
↑ $780
4%
↑ $770
9%
↑ $760
32%
↑ $750
48%
↓ $730
74%
↓ $720
51%
↓ $710
26%
↓ $700
20%
↓ $690
15%
↓ $680
7%
↓ $670
2%
↓ $660
2%
↓ $650
2%
$490,222 Vol.
↑ $800
3%
↑ $790
2%
↑ $780
4%
↑ $770
9%
↑ $760
32%
↑ $750
48%
↓ $730
74%
↓ $720
51%
↓ $710
26%
↓ $700
20%
↓ $690
15%
↓ $680
7%
↓ $670
2%
↓ $660
2%
↓ $650
2%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
マーケット開始日: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
The S&P 500's recent surge to fresh record highs above 7,200, with a 10.5% gain in April 2026 driven by AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers and robust first-quarter earnings growth exceeding 12%, continues to shape trader positioning for May resolution levels. Persistent inflation pressures, including March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year and elevated wholesale prices, have prompted a hawkish Federal Reserve stance with the funds rate held at 3.50-3.75% amid multiple FOMC dissents, while the transition to new Chair Kevin Warsh adds policy uncertainty. Strong corporate margins near record levels and ongoing tech sector momentum provide support, though stretched valuations and potential volatility from geopolitical or earnings developments could influence near-term index moves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問