Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro area near $495,000–$511,000 reflect a sustained correction, with year-over-year declines of 3–6% driven by elevated inventory, longer days on market, and reduced buyer demand following pandemic-era price surges. Redfin and MLS median sale prices around $440,000–$542,000 (May 2026 data) underscore affordability pressures from higher mortgage rates, while forecasts point to stabilization rather than sharp rebounds by mid-year. With June 30 resolution imminent, the tight spread between the leading >$495k (38%) and <$481k (34%) outcomes captures trader uncertainty over short-term momentum, seasonal sales patterns, and potential revisions in lagging indices, keeping the range of $481k–$495k buckets competitive amid modest downside risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$495k超 50%
$493k - $495k 10%
$487k - $490k 10%
$484k ~ $487k 9%
$481,000 - $484,000
36%
$484k ~ $487k
11%
$493k - $495k
13%
49万ドル~49万3,000ドル
47%
$495k超
36%
$487k - $490k
14%
$48万1,000未満
41%
$495k超 50%
$493k - $495k 10%
$487k - $490k 10%
$484k ~ $487k 9%
$481,000 - $484,000
36%
$484k ~ $487k
11%
$493k - $495k
13%
49万ドル~49万3,000ドル
47%
$495k超
36%
$487k - $490k
14%
$48万1,000未満
41%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
マーケット開始日: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro area near $495,000–$511,000 reflect a sustained correction, with year-over-year declines of 3–6% driven by elevated inventory, longer days on market, and reduced buyer demand following pandemic-era price surges. Redfin and MLS median sale prices around $440,000–$542,000 (May 2026 data) underscore affordability pressures from higher mortgage rates, while forecasts point to stabilization rather than sharp rebounds by mid-year. With June 30 resolution imminent, the tight spread between the leading >$495k (38%) and <$481k (34%) outcomes captures trader uncertainty over short-term momentum, seasonal sales patterns, and potential revisions in lagging indices, keeping the range of $481k–$495k buckets competitive amid modest downside risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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