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icon for 6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
エコノミー·Parcl

6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？

icon for 6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
エコノミー·Parcl

6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？

$429,000未満 27%

$429k - $431k 18%

431,000ドル〜433,000ドル 15%

$433k〜$435k 11%

Polymarket
新規

$429,000未満 27%

$429k - $431k 18%

431,000ドル〜433,000ドル 15%

$433k〜$435k 11%

Polymarket
新規

$429,000未満

$176 Vol.

27%

$429k - $431k

$18 Vol.

18%

431,000ドル〜433,000ドル

$1 Vol.

15%

$433k〜$435k

$1 Vol.

11%

$435k〜$437k

$0 Vol.

7%

$437k - $439k

$30 Vol.

5%

$439k超

$0 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
音量
$227
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
音量
$227
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)

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よくある質問

「6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$429,000未満」で27%、次いで「$429k - $431k」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、27¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に27%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 2, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「$429,000未満」で27%であり、市場がこの結果に27%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$429k - $431k」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月30日の米国の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。