Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median sale prices near $1.0 million with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–1.2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates averaging 6.3–6.6 percent that continue to constrain buyer affordability. Low existing-home inventory and resilient high-end demand have kept values from falling further, while broader forecasts from the California Association of Realtors anticipate only modest statewide gains for 2026. With resolution just weeks away, these counterbalancing forces—persistent rate pressure versus limited supply—underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the $1.172–1.190 million band, where small shifts in June transaction volume or any late Fed communications could determine the final outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.172M〜$1.181M 28%
$1.181M ～ $1.190M 27%
$1.172M未満 16%
$1.190M - $1.199M 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$1.172M未満
16%
$1.172M〜$1.181M
28%
$1.181M ～ $1.190M
32%
$1.190M - $1.199M
13%
$1.199M ～ $1.208M
6%
$1.208M - $1.216M
6%
>$1.216M
6%
$1.172M〜$1.181M 28%
$1.181M ～ $1.190M 27%
$1.172M未満 16%
$1.190M - $1.199M 13%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$1.172M未満
$104 Vol.
16%
$1.172M〜$1.181M
$40 Vol.
28%
$1.181M ～ $1.190M
$221 Vol.
32%
$1.190M - $1.199M
$40 Vol.
13%
$1.199M ～ $1.208M
$48 Vol.
6%
$1.208M - $1.216M
$40 Vol.
6%
>$1.216M
$40 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median sale prices near $1.0 million with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–1.2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates averaging 6.3–6.6 percent that continue to constrain buyer affordability. Low existing-home inventory and resilient high-end demand have kept values from falling further, while broader forecasts from the California Association of Realtors anticipate only modest statewide gains for 2026. With resolution just weeks away, these counterbalancing forces—persistent rate pressure versus limited supply—underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the $1.172–1.190 million band, where small shifts in June transaction volume or any late Fed communications could determine the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
マーケット開始日： Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$534終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median sale prices near $1.0 million with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–1.2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates averaging 6.3–6.6 percent that continue to constrain buyer affordability. Low existing-home inventory and resilient high-end demand have kept values from falling further, while broader forecasts from the California Association of Realtors anticipate only modest statewide gains for 2026. With resolution just weeks away, these counterbalancing forces—persistent rate pressure versus limited supply—underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the $1.172–1.190 million band, where small shifts in June transaction volume or any late Fed communications could determine the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
音量
$534終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median sale prices near $1.0 million with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–1.2 percent, reflecting elevated 30-year mortgage rates averaging 6.3–6.6 percent that continue to constrain buyer affordability. Low existing-home inventory and resilient high-end demand have kept values from falling further, while broader forecasts from the California Association of Realtors anticipate only modest statewide gains for 2026. With resolution just weeks away, these counterbalancing forces—persistent rate pressure versus limited supply—underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the $1.172–1.190 million band, where small shifts in June transaction volume or any late Fed communications could determine the final outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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