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icon for 6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

icon for 6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?

$1.230M〜$1.244M 25%

$1.244M超 19%

$1.202M~$1.216M 11%

$1.174M - $1.188M 7%

Polymarket
新規

$1.230M〜$1.244M 25%

$1.244M超 19%

$1.202M~$1.216M 11%

$1.174M - $1.188M 7%

Polymarket
新規

$1.174M未満

$38 Vol.

6%

$1.174M - $1.188M

$38 Vol.

7%

$1.188M - $1.202M

$38 Vol.

6%

$1.202M~$1.216M

$62 Vol.

11%

$1.216M ~ $1.230M

$345 Vol.

43%

$1.230M〜$1.244M

$199 Vol.

18%

$1.244M超

$329 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
音量
$1,049
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
音量
$1,049
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$1.216M ~ $1.230M」で43%、次いで「$1.244M超」が31%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、43¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に43%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 2, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「$1.216M ~ $1.230M」で43%であり、市場がこの結果に43%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$1.244M超」で31%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月30日のサンフランシスコ大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。