**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.** Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$554k未満 80%
$554k - $558k 10%
$558k - $562k 8%
$570k - $572k 8%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$554k未満
80%
$554k - $558k
10%
$558k - $562k
8%
$562k - $566k
7%
$566k - $570k
7%
$570k - $572k
8%
>$572k
5%
$554k未満 80%
$554k - $558k 10%
$558k - $562k 8%
$570k - $572k 8%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$554k未満
$448 Vol.
80%
$554k - $558k
$73 Vol.
10%
$558k - $562k
$73 Vol.
8%
$562k - $566k
$46 Vol.
7%
$566k - $570k
$46 Vol.
7%
$570k - $572k
$46 Vol.
8%
>$572k
$71 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.**
Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
マーケット開始日： Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
音量
$802終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.**
Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
音量
$802終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated inventory from federal workforce reductions and mixed price signals are anchoring trader expectations for the DC Metro median home value near or below $554k by June 30.** Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro median listing price at $595,000 in May 2026, up modestly from April but reflecting broader softening amid roughly 50% higher listings year-over-year versus only modest sales growth. Zillow Home Value Index readings for the metro hover in the mid-to-high $560k–$580k range with flat-to-downward trends, consistent with forecasts of a 1% full-year decline to around $617k driven by federal employment uncertainty that has boosted supply and lengthened days on market. With resolution imminent in two weeks, limited seasonal momentum and ongoing labor market pressures in the region reinforce the 78% implied probability on the sub-$554k bucket, while narrower higher bands capture only residual upside risk.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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