Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$342k〜$345k 20%
$339k〜$342k 14%
$339,000未満 12%
$354k超 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$339,000未満
12%
$339k〜$342k
14%
$342k〜$345k
20%
$345k - $348k
9%
$348k - $351k
7%
$351k - $354k
7%
$354k超
11%
$342k〜$345k 20%
$339k〜$342k 14%
$339,000未満 12%
$354k超 11%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$339,000未満
$77 Vol.
12%
$339k〜$342k
$51 Vol.
14%
$342k〜$345k
$258 Vol.
20%
$345k - $348k
$173 Vol.
9%
$348k - $351k
$188 Vol.
7%
$351k - $354k
$46 Vol.
7%
$354k超
$185 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
マーケット開始日： Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
音量
$978終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
音量
$978終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Chicago home values and sale prices rising modestly year-over-year, with ZHVI near $326,000 in late May 2026 amid 3-6% appreciation driven by persistent low inventory and steady demand. Mortgage rates near 6% and limited supply continue to support upward pressure, though national forecasts point to tempered 2-5% gains for the year. With the two leading $339k–$345k bins holding nearly equal 19.5-20.5% implied probabilities, trader sentiment reflects tight uncertainty around June seasonal strength and any final data releases before resolution; small shifts in inventory reports or rate movements could readily reallocate probabilities across the narrow range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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