President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed for May 13-15, 2026, has adhered closely to the published White House schedule, with bilateral summit meetings alongside Xi Jinping on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and other issues concluding today in Beijing. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a May 15 departure reflects this fixed itinerary—announced May 11 by China's foreign ministry and reaffirmed in real-time updates from the president's public calendar—following his arrival on May 13 and a welcoming banquet on May 14. No extensions or delays have been signaled amid smooth diplomacy, aligning with historical patterns for short state visits. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking agreements requiring overtime talks, Air Force One weather disruptions, health concerns, or security incidents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日When will Trump leave China?
When will Trump leave China?
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$247,743 Vol.
$247,743 Vol.
2026/05/20
May 15
100%
May 16
<1%
May 17
<1%
May 18
<1%
5月18日以降
<1%
May 15 100.0%
May 16 <1%
May 17 <1%
May 18 <1%
$247,743 Vol.
$247,743 Vol.
2026/05/20
May 15
$108,236 Vol.
100%
May 16
$50,534 Vol.
<1%
May 17
$11,104 Vol.
<1%
May 18
$3,024 Vol.
<1%
5月18日以降
$5,847 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed for May 13-15, 2026, has adhered closely to the published White House schedule, with bilateral summit meetings alongside Xi Jinping on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and other issues concluding today in Beijing. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a May 15 departure reflects this fixed itinerary—announced May 11 by China's foreign ministry and reaffirmed in real-time updates from the president's public calendar—following his arrival on May 13 and a welcoming banquet on May 14. No extensions or delays have been signaled amid smooth diplomacy, aligning with historical patterns for short state visits. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking agreements requiring overtime talks, Air Force One weather disruptions, health concerns, or security incidents.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
音量
$247,743終了日
2026/05/20マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed for May 13-15, 2026, has adhered closely to the published White House schedule, with bilateral summit meetings alongside Xi Jinping on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and other issues concluding today in Beijing. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a May 15 departure reflects this fixed itinerary—announced May 11 by China's foreign ministry and reaffirmed in real-time updates from the president's public calendar—following his arrival on May 13 and a welcoming banquet on May 14. No extensions or delays have been signaled amid smooth diplomacy, aligning with historical patterns for short state visits. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking agreements requiring overtime talks, Air Force One weather disruptions, health concerns, or security incidents.
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China. Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
If Donald Trump begins visits China before May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After May 18”.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by May 18, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “No visit by May 18”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$247,743終了日
2026/05/20マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's state visit to China, confirmed for May 13-15, 2026, has adhered closely to the published White House schedule, with bilateral summit meetings alongside Xi Jinping on trade, Iran, Taiwan, and other issues concluding today in Beijing. Traders' near-unanimous consensus on a May 15 departure reflects this fixed itinerary—announced May 11 by China's foreign ministry and reaffirmed in real-time updates from the president's public calendar—following his arrival on May 13 and a welcoming banquet on May 14. No extensions or delays have been signaled amid smooth diplomacy, aligning with historical patterns for short state visits. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking agreements requiring overtime talks, Air Force One weather disruptions, health concerns, or security incidents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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