Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 62%
Google 39%
OpenAI 1.8%
xAI <1%
$91,022 Vol.
$91,022 Vol.
2026/05/31
Anthropic
62%
39%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
Meta
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 62%
Google 39%
OpenAI 1.8%
xAI <1%
$91,022 Vol.
$91,022 Vol.
2026/05/31
Anthropic
$13,880 Vol.
62%
$10,692 Vol.
39%
OpenAI
$6,933 Vol.
2%
xAI
$7,462 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$5,736 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$5,586 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,345 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$7,320 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$5,483 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$3,740 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$2,528 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,753 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,591 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,361 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,613 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
音量
$91,022終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$91,022終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders currently see Anthropic as the frontrunner for third place among AI developers by the end of May, driven by consistent benchmark gains and enterprise adoption of its latest Claude large language models. These releases have delivered measurable improvements in reasoning and safety features that position the company ahead of most rivals in third-party evaluations. Google sits in a close second slot thanks to iterative Gemini updates and deeper integration across its cloud and search platforms, which have sustained steady progress in multimodal capabilities. OpenAI, xAI, and Meta trail far behind in market-implied odds, reflecting slower recent advancements relative to the top contenders. Key catalysts ahead include any final model drops or conference announcements before May 31 that could still alter the competitive ordering.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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