Trader consensus gives Democrats a 57.5% implied probability of sweeping the core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts favoring Democratic incumbents and nominees. In North Carolina's open seat, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads GOP chair Michael Whatley 50%-42% per the latest High Point University poll, bolstering sweep hopes. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff shifted to Leans Democratic in Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, while Michigan's open contest and Maine's vulnerable Susan Collins seat show Democratic tilts in fresh NYT and MPRC surveys updated May 13. Midterm headwinds for the GOP White House, alongside upcoming primaries in these battlegrounds, underpin the closely contested pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
新規
新規
2026/11/03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus gives Democrats a 57.5% implied probability of sweeping the core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts favoring Democratic incumbents and nominees. In North Carolina's open seat, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads GOP chair Michael Whatley 50%-42% per the latest High Point University poll, bolstering sweep hopes. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff shifted to Leans Democratic in Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, while Michigan's open contest and Maine's vulnerable Susan Collins seat show Democratic tilts in fresh NYT and MPRC surveys updated May 13. Midterm headwinds for the GOP White House, alongside upcoming primaries in these battlegrounds, underpin the closely contested pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$3,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus gives Democrats a 57.5% implied probability of sweeping the core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts favoring Democratic incumbents and nominees. In North Carolina's open seat, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads GOP chair Michael Whatley 50%-42% per the latest High Point University poll, bolstering sweep hopes. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff shifted to Leans Democratic in Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, while Michigan's open contest and Maine's vulnerable Susan Collins seat show Democratic tilts in fresh NYT and MPRC surveys updated May 13. Midterm headwinds for the GOP White House, alongside upcoming primaries in these battlegrounds, underpin the closely contested pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
音量
$3,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives Democrats a 57.5% implied probability of sweeping the core four Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting recent polling edges and ratings shifts favoring Democratic incumbents and nominees. In North Carolina's open seat, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads GOP chair Michael Whatley 50%-42% per the latest High Point University poll, bolstering sweep hopes. Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff shifted to Leans Democratic in Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings, while Michigan's open contest and Maine's vulnerable Susan Collins seat show Democratic tilts in fresh NYT and MPRC surveys updated May 13. Midterm headwinds for the GOP White House, alongside upcoming primaries in these battlegrounds, underpin the closely contested pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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