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選挙·プライマリ

ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選

icon for ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選
選挙·プライマリ

ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選

トム・ティファニー 91%

アンディ・マンスキー 4.5%

トミー・トンプソン 1.9%

ジョシュ・ショーマン 1.6%

Polymarket

$82,422 Vol.

トム・ティファニー 91%

アンディ・マンスキー 4.5%

トミー・トンプソン 1.9%

ジョシュ・ショーマン 1.6%

Polymarket

$82,422 Vol.

トム・ティファニー

$6,739 Vol.

91%

アンディ・マンスキー

$3,267 Vol.

5%

トミー・トンプソン

$3,468 Vol.

2%

ジョシュ・ショーマン

$3,716 Vol.

2%

ティム・マイケルズ

$2,992 Vol.

1%

レベッカ・クリーフィッシュ

$5,203 Vol.

1%

エリック・ホブデ

$20,800 Vol.

1%

ショーン・ダフィー

$36,238 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Wisconsin governor, driven by his January endorsement from President Donald Trump and the state party’s official backing at its May 16 convention, where he was the only candidate to qualify. This consolidation has prompted withdrawals by other contenders, including Josh Schoemann, and recent support from former Gov. Tommy Thompson, reinforcing Tiffany’s position ahead of the August 11 primary. Traders reflect this momentum through heavy positioning on Tiffany, while lower-probability outcomes for remaining candidates like Andy Manske hinge on limited name recognition and weaker institutional ties. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late developments within the primary window, though current polling averages and party alignment suggest strong barriers to significant movement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$82,422
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Wisconsin governor, driven by his January endorsement from President Donald Trump and the state party’s official backing at its May 16 convention, where he was the only candidate to qualify. This consolidation has prompted withdrawals by other contenders, including Josh Schoemann, and recent support from former Gov. Tommy Thompson, reinforcing Tiffany’s position ahead of the August 11 primary. Traders reflect this momentum through heavy positioning on Tiffany, while lower-probability outcomes for remaining candidates like Andy Manske hinge on limited name recognition and weaker institutional ties. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen late developments within the primary window, though current polling averages and party alignment suggest strong barriers to significant movement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$82,422
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トム・ティファニー」で91%、次いで「アンディ・マンスキー」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選」は$82.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「トム・ティファニー」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アンディ・マンスキー」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ウィスコンシン州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。