Recent Republican Party of Wisconsin endorsement at its May 2026 state convention, combined with prior backing from President Trump and former Governor Tommy Thompson, has consolidated support behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany in the August 11 primary. Polling from Marquette University and others shows him leading fragmented challengers such as Andy Manske by wide margins, reflecting unified donor, activist, and institutional alignment in a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 90.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns where early frontrunners with broad endorsements rarely face late reversals. A major scandal or unexpected high-profile entry could still shift probabilities before the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日トム・ティファニー 91%
アンディ・マンスキー 4.0%
トミー・トンプソン 1.9%
ジョシュ・ショーマン 1.6%
$82,422 Vol.
$82,422 Vol.
2026/08/11
トム・ティファニー
91%
アンディ・マンスキー
4%
トミー・トンプソン
2%
ジョシュ・ショーマン
2%
ティム・マイケルズ
1%
レベッカ・クリーフィッシュ
1%
エリック・ホブデ
1%
ショーン・ダフィー
<1%
トム・ティファニー 91%
アンディ・マンスキー 4.0%
トミー・トンプソン 1.9%
ジョシュ・ショーマン 1.6%
$82,422 Vol.
$82,422 Vol.
2026/08/11
トム・ティファニー
$6,739 Vol.
91%
アンディ・マンスキー
$3,267 Vol.
4%
トミー・トンプソン
$3,468 Vol.
2%
ジョシュ・ショーマン
$3,716 Vol.
2%
ティム・マイケルズ
$2,992 Vol.
1%
レベッカ・クリーフィッシュ
$5,203 Vol.
1%
エリック・ホブデ
$20,800 Vol.
1%
ショーン・ダフィー
$36,238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent Republican Party of Wisconsin endorsement at its May 2026 state convention, combined with prior backing from President Trump and former Governor Tommy Thompson, has consolidated support behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany in the August 11 primary. Polling from Marquette University and others shows him leading fragmented challengers such as Andy Manske by wide margins, reflecting unified donor, activist, and institutional alignment in a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 90.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns where early frontrunners with broad endorsements rarely face late reversals. A major scandal or unexpected high-profile entry could still shift probabilities before the primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
音量
$82,422終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent Republican Party of Wisconsin endorsement at its May 2026 state convention, combined with prior backing from President Trump and former Governor Tommy Thompson, has consolidated support behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany in the August 11 primary. Polling from Marquette University and others shows him leading fragmented challengers such as Andy Manske by wide margins, reflecting unified donor, activist, and institutional alignment in a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 90.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns where early frontrunners with broad endorsements rarely face late reversals. A major scandal or unexpected high-profile entry could still shift probabilities before the primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$82,422終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Republican Party of Wisconsin endorsement at its May 2026 state convention, combined with prior backing from President Trump and former Governor Tommy Thompson, has consolidated support behind U.S. Representative Tom Tiffany in the August 11 primary. Polling from Marquette University and others shows him leading fragmented challengers such as Andy Manske by wide margins, reflecting unified donor, activist, and institutional alignment in a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus prices this dominance at 90.5 percent, consistent with historical patterns where early frontrunners with broad endorsements rarely face late reversals. A major scandal or unexpected high-profile entry could still shift probabilities before the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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