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선거·프랑스

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
선거·프랑스

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,943 거래량

2027.04.17
Polymarket

$53,943 거래량

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 거래량

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 거래량

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 거래량

83%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 거래량

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 거래량

71%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 거래량

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 거래량

56%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 거래량

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 거래량

51%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 거래량

50%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,087 거래량

45%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 거래량

49%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 거래량

46%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 거래량

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 거래량

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,250 거래량

35%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 거래량

29%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 거래량

29%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 거래량

16%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 거래량

26%

icon for 마튀 피가스

마튀 피가스

$4,360 거래량

18%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 거래량

18%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$856 거래량

28%

icon for 후안 브랑코

후안 브랑코

$1,751 거래량

15%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 거래량

15%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 거래량

13%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 거래량

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 거래량

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 거래량

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 거래량

10%

icon for 미셸-에두아르 르클레르

미셸-에두아르 르클레르

$1,151 거래량

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 거래량

9%

icon for 필리프 드 빌리에

필리프 드 빌리에

$691 거래량

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 거래량

7%

icon for 마누엘 발스

마누엘 발스

$350 거래량

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 거래량

7%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 거래량

13%

icon for 발리 바가요코

발리 바가요코

$1,099 거래량

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 거래량

6%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 거래량

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 거래량

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 거래량

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 거래량

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 거래량

4%

icon for 테디 리너

테디 리너

$148 거래량

4%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 거래량

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit leaves the 2027 French presidential race open, with the first round set for April and a potential runoff two weeks later. A Paris appeals court ruling expected on July 7 could uphold Marine Le Pen's five-year public-office ban from her 2025 embezzlement conviction, forcing National Rally to turn to Jordan Bardella as its standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives; the Republicans have already nominated Bruno Retailleau. Left-wing groups are organizing a unity primary to select one contender, and several other declared or exploratory candidates add to a crowded field whose composition will hinge on legal outcomes, party consolidations, and polling trends through the coming year.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$53,943
종료일
2027.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Emmanuel Macron's two-term limit leaves the 2027 French presidential race open, with the first round set for April and a potential runoff two weeks later. A Paris appeals court ruling expected on July 7 could uphold Marine Le Pen's five-year public-office ban from her 2025 embezzlement conviction, forcing National Rally to turn to Jordan Bardella as its standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May, while center-right figures including Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives; the Republicans have already nominated Bruno Retailleau. Left-wing groups are organizing a unity primary to select one contender, and several other declared or exploratory candidates add to a crowded field whose composition will hinge on legal outcomes, party consolidations, and polling trends through the coming year.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$53,943
종료일
2027.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"은 46+개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 89%의 "Jean-Luc Mélenchon"이며, 이어서 88%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 89¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 89%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"은 총 $53.9K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 22, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 46+개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"의 현재 유력 후보는 89%의 "Jean-Luc Mélenchon"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 89%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 88%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.