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Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$148,326 거래량

2027.04.17
Polymarket

$148,326 거래량

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,705 거래량

96%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$10,209 거래량

85%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$5,180 거래량

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,377 거래량

77%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,751 거래량

76%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$6,695 거래량

75%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,615 거래량

69%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$5,085 거래량

53%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$576 거래량

59%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$5,251 거래량

50%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$5,801 거래량

42%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$4,623 거래량

41%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,342 거래량

37%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$979 거래량

34%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$4,681 거래량

30%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$2,257 거래량

26%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$4,322 거래량

20%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,881 거래량

17%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$3,638 거래량

17%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,076 거래량

13%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,175 거래량

10%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$350 거래량

10%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,539 거래량

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,250 거래량

9%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$1,756 거래량

9%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,417 거래량

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$2,385 거래량

9%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$1,265 거래량

9%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,742 거래량

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,637 거래량

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$2,842 거래량

7%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$559 거래량

7%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$2,727 거래량

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,557 거래량

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$4,748 거래량

6%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$743 거래량

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,576 거래량

4%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$972 거래량

4%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,258 거래량

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$19,686 거래량

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$478 거래량

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$352 거래량

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$850 거래량

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$345 거래량

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 거래량

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,102 거래량

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$148,326
종료일
2027.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$148,326
종료일
2027.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"은 46+개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 96%의 "Jean-Luc Mélenchon"이며, 이어서 85%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 96¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 96%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"은 총 $148.3K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Apr 22, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 46+개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"의 현재 유력 후보는 96%의 "Jean-Luc Mélenchon"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 96%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 85%의 "Édouard Philippe"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.