Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz's fundraising dominance—with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republicans' combined under $100,000—anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 25th Congressional District. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Ruiz's 2024 victory margin of 13 points, and fragmented GOP primary field featuring Hemet City Council member Joe Males, Ron Huffman, and Ceci Truman reinforce this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Cook rates the race Likely D, citing challenges for Republicans replicating 2024 Trump gains in this off-year contest, with no major developments in the past month shifting odds. The general election follows November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,454 거래량
89%
Republican Party
$615 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz's fundraising dominance—with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republicans' combined under $100,000—anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 25th Congressional District. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Ruiz's 2024 victory margin of 13 points, and fragmented GOP primary field featuring Hemet City Council member Joe Males, Ron Huffman, and Ceci Truman reinforce this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Cook rates the race Likely D, citing challenges for Republicans replicating 2024 Trump gains in this off-year contest, with no major developments in the past month shifting odds. The general election follows November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
거래량
$3,069종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz's fundraising dominance—with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republicans' combined under $100,000—anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 25th Congressional District. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Ruiz's 2024 victory margin of 13 points, and fragmented GOP primary field featuring Hemet City Council member Joe Males, Ron Huffman, and Ceci Truman reinforce this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Cook rates the race Likely D, citing challenges for Republicans replicating 2024 Trump gains in this off-year contest, with no major developments in the past month shifting odds. The general election follows November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,069종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz's fundraising dominance—with $2.4 million cash on hand as of late March compared to Republicans' combined under $100,000—anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Democratic Party win in California's 25th Congressional District. The district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Ruiz's 2024 victory margin of 13 points, and fragmented GOP primary field featuring Hemet City Council member Joe Males, Ron Huffman, and Ceci Truman reinforce this positioning ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Cook rates the race Likely D, citing challenges for Republicans replicating 2024 Trump gains in this off-year contest, with no major developments in the past month shifting odds. The general election follows November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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