Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse's entrenched position drives the 93.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic Cook Political Report rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Neguse, who has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles including 2024, faces no notable primary challengers ahead of the June 30 Democratic primary, while Republican filings remain sparse per recent FEC data. Strong incumbent fundraising through April underscores this dominance in the Boulder-anchored district. Potential shifts could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Neguse scandal, health event, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though safe-seat precedents indicate low volatility before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,173 거래량
$26,173 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$26,173 거래량
$26,173 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,332 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,840 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse's entrenched position drives the 93.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic Cook Political Report rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Neguse, who has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles including 2024, faces no notable primary challengers ahead of the June 30 Democratic primary, while Republican filings remain sparse per recent FEC data. Strong incumbent fundraising through April underscores this dominance in the Boulder-anchored district. Potential shifts could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Neguse scandal, health event, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though safe-seat precedents indicate low volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$26,173종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse's entrenched position drives the 93.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic Cook Political Report rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Neguse, who has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles including 2024, faces no notable primary challengers ahead of the June 30 Democratic primary, while Republican filings remain sparse per recent FEC data. Strong incumbent fundraising through April underscores this dominance in the Boulder-anchored district. Potential shifts could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Neguse scandal, health event, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though safe-seat precedents indicate low volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,173종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse's entrenched position drives the 93.5% trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the seat's Solid Democratic Cook Political Report rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20. Neguse, who has secured reelection with double-digit margins in prior cycles including 2024, faces no notable primary challengers ahead of the June 30 Democratic primary, while Republican filings remain sparse per recent FEC data. Strong incumbent fundraising through April underscores this dominance in the Boulder-anchored district. Potential shifts could arise from a high-profile GOP recruit, Neguse scandal, health event, or extraordinary national midterm wave, though safe-seat precedents indicate low volatility before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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