Despite ongoing House Ethics Committee scrutiny into allegations of misconduct and a bipartisan expulsion resolution introduced in April, Rep. Cory Mills has publicly refused to resign from his Florida seat, citing no basis for stepping down. The compressed timeline through May 31 limits prospects for completing the full expulsion process, which requires a House floor vote amid the chamber’s narrow Republican majority. Traders assign a 95.7 percent probability to the “no” outcome, reflecting the procedural barriers and Mills’ stated determination to remain in office. A sudden majority vote to expel him before month-end could still shift the result, though no such action appears scheduled.